论文目录 | |
| Dedication | 第1-4
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| Acknowledgement | 第4-5
页 |
| 中文摘要 | 第5-6
页 |
| 英文摘要 | 第6-7
页 |
| Table of contents | 第7-9
页 |
| Chapter Ⅰ -Introduction | 第9-19
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| 1．1 Background of the research | 第10-11
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| 1．2 Problems that Yugoslav shipping industry is facing | 第11-16
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| 1．2．1 Yugoslav shipping from the end of World War Ⅱ until 1990 | 第11-14
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| 1．2．2 Yugoslav shipping from the beginning of 1990 until the present | 第14-16
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| 1．3 Statement of problem and objective of study | 第16-17
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| 1．4 Research method for problem facilitation | 第17
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| 1．5 Structure of paper | 第17-19
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| Chapter Ⅱ -Overview of Jugooceanija shipping company | 第19-36
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| 2．1 General data and information | 第20-29
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| 2．1．1 Ships | 第22-24
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| 2．1．2 Cargoes | 第24-26
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| 2．1．3 Finances | 第26-28
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| 2．1．4 Human resources | 第28-29
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| 2．2 Main obstacles for further development | 第29-36
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| 2．2．1 The company's external obstacles | 第29-30
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| 2．2．2 The company's internal obstacles | 第30-36
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| Chapter Ⅲ -Market estimates as a strategy for continuing development | 第36-91
页 |
| 3．1 The reason and importance for estimation of a market related to a shipping company | 第37-38
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| 3．2 What, why and how to do | 第38-40
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| 3．2．1 Techniques of forecasting to be used | 第39-40
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| 3．3 Predictions of seaborne trade in major dry bulk commodities and some minor dry bulk cargo | 第40-78
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| 3．3．1 Technique of simple exponential smoothing | 第41-42
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| 3．3．2 Technique of double exponential smoothing | 第42-43
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| 3．3．3 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in iron ore | 第43-49
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| 3．3．4 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in coal | 第49-53
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| 3．3．5 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in grain | 第53-57
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| 3．3．6 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in bauxite and alumina | 第57-61
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| 3．3．7 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in phosphates | 第61-64
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| 3．3．8 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in steel products | 第64-68
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| 3．3．9 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in forest products | 第68-72
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| 3．3．10 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in cement | 第72-75
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| 3．3．11 Recent state and prediction of seaborne trade in sugar | 第75-78
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| 3．4 Forecast of world dry bulk carriers' fleets growth | 第78-91
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| 3．4．1 Regression analysis as a method for prediction of bulk fleets' growth | 第78-80
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| 3．4．2 Forecast of world Capesize fleet growth | 第80-82
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| 3．4．3 Forecast of world Panamax fleet growth | 第82-85
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| 3．4．4 Forecast of world Handymax fleet growth | 第85-88
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| 3．4．5 Forecast of world Handysize fleet growth | 第88-91
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| Chapter Ⅳ -Current state of the market in the light of developing strategy for Jugooceanija shipping company | 第91-107
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| 4．1 Introduction | 第92-93
页 |
| 4．2 Recent state in dry bulk carriers fleet market | 第93-98
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| 4．3 Current position of dry bulk carriers fleets | 第98-107
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| 4．3．1 Capesize fleet | 第98-101
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| 4．3．2 Panamax fleet | 第101-103
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| 4．3．3 Handymax/size fleet | 第103-107
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| Chapter Ⅴ -Final prospects for further direction of fleet development pertaining to Jugooceanija shipping company | 第107-126
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| 5．1 Bulk sector-the major resort for company operations | 第108-117
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| 5．1．1 Capesize sector | 第109-111
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| 5．1．2 Panamax sector | 第111-113
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| 5．1．3 Handy sector | 第113-117
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| 5．2 Handymax advantages from the company's point of view | 第117-120
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| 5．2．1 Advantageous types of vessels | 第118-120
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| 5．3 Financial issue regarding fleet's renewal | 第120-126
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| 5．3．1 Criteria for financing from external sources | 第122-123
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| 5．3．2 Possible sources of financing for Jugooceanija shipping company | 第123-126
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| Chapter Ⅵ -Summary & Conclusion | 第126-130
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| Summary | 第127
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| Conclusion | 第127-130
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| References | 第130-131
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| Bibliography and web sites | 第131-133
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